Between trading blowups and increased regulatory scrutiny risk management of derivatives has never been more important. This paper will take you through the basics of market risk, and show how it has been managed over the years using measures such as duration, beta and delta. In clear and simple language, Value at Risk, or VaR, is proposed as the best way to measure risk, given a common-sense definition of what risk really is. Within the VaR framework, Historical VaR is shown to be superior to Parametric VaR and Monte Carlo VaR. A few problems are raised with Historical VaR, but a new type of VaR called Realized VaR is introduced which overcomes these problems. This paper does not contain lots of formulas and lingo. Instead, it explains the concepts in plain English, with relevant and easy to follow examples. |
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